SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 74.09%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.76%) and 3-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Baltika |
74.09% ( -0) | 17.01% ( 0) | 8.9% |
| Both teams to score 41.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.53% ( -0) | 45.47% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.2% ( -0) | 67.8% ( 0) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.3% ( -0) | 10.7% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.39% ( -0) | 34.61% ( 0) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.62% | 53.38% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.11% | 86.89% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Baltika |
| 2-0 @ 14.26% 1-0 @ 12.76% 3-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 6.67% 4-0 @ 5.94% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.65% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.17% 6-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.57% Total : 74.07% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.81% Other @ 0.48% Total : 17.01% | 0-1 @ 3.59% 1-2 @ 2.52% 0-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.68% Total : 8.9% |
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