SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Baltika win was 1-0 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rubin Kazan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Baltika | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
35.2% ( 0.06) | 28.85% ( 0) | 35.94% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.29% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.68% ( -0.01) | 61.32% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.76% ( -0.01) | 81.24% ( 0.01) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( 0.04) | 32.95% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.47% ( 0.05) | 69.53% ( -0.04) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% ( -0.05) | 32.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.01% ( -0.05) | 68.99% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Baltika | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.2% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.94% |
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