Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Baltika win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Baltika	Draw	Spartak Moscow
25.66%	23.6% ( -0)	50.74% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.01% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.82% (

-0)

44.18% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.44% (

-0)

66.56% (

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.08% (

-0)

30.92% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.79% (

-0)

67.21% (

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.52%

17.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.03% (

-0)

47.96%

Score Analysis

Baltika 25.66%

Spartak Moscow 50.74%

Draw 23.6%

Baltika	Draw	Spartak Moscow
2-1 @ 6.49% 1-0 @ 6.34% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.89% Total : 25.66%	1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 9.65% 0-1 @ 9.43% 0-2 @ 8.22% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.61% 0-3 @ 4.78% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 2.45% 0-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.74%