SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 73.31%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 9.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.74%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Sochi |
73.31% ( -0.07) | 17.03% ( 0.03) | 9.66% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.67% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.87% ( -0.01) | 43.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.47% ( -0.01) | 65.53% ( 0.01) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.72% ( -0.02) | 10.28% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.34% ( -0.05) | 33.66% ( 0.05) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.79% ( 0.09) | 50.21% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.19% ( 0.06) | 84.8% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Sochi |
| 2-0 @ 13.35% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.74% 3-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0)6-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 73.3% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 17.03% | 0-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 9.66% |
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