SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 35.07%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.99%) and 2-1 (6.61%). The likeliest Namibia win was 0-1 (13.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zimbabwe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zimbabwe | Draw | Namibia |
35.07% ( 0.18) | 31.58% ( 0.06) | 33.35% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 38.15% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.26% ( -0.17) | 69.74% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.93% ( -0.11) | 87.07% ( 0.11) |
| Zimbabwe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.39% ( 0.03) | 37.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.61% ( 0.03) | 74.39% ( -0.03) |
| Namibia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.15% ( -0.28) | 38.85% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.42% ( -0.26) | 75.58% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zimbabwe | Draw | Namibia |
| 1-0 @ 14.28% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 35.06% | 0-0 @ 14.61% ( 0.1) 1-1 @ 13.5% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.57% | 0-1 @ 13.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.56% Total : 33.34% |
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