SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Zimbabwe |
56.79% ( 0.14) | 24.42% ( -0.06) | 18.79% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 45.64% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.17% ( 0.13) | 54.83% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.87% ( 0.11) | 76.13% ( -0.11) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( 0.11) | 19.19% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.12% ( 0.17) | 50.87% ( -0.17) |
| Zimbabwe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.48% ( -0.01) | 43.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.28% ( -0.01) | 79.72% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zambia | Draw | Zimbabwe |
| 1-0 @ 13.78% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.8% Total : 56.78% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.76% Total : 18.79% |
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