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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Orlando Stadium
ZN

Namibia
0 - 1
Zimbabwe


Katua (24'), Kalula (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Billiat (34' pen.)
Hachiro (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Namibia 1-2 Kenya
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zimbabwe 0-0 Cameroon
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Namibia 1-1 Zimbabwe

Given that both these sides desperately need a win, and possibly view each other as the most likely route to three points, we could see them throw caution to the wind at points in this match. However, while we do feel there could be at least a couple of goals forthcoming in this contest, we doubt there will be anything to split these sides at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.76%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
NamibiaDrawZimbabwe
48.5% (1.066 1.07) 29.6% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 21.89% (-1.165 -1.17)
Both teams to score 37.1% (-1.237 -1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.87% (-0.962 -0.96)68.13% (0.959 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.98% (-0.644 -0.64)86.02% (0.64 0.64)
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.069999999999993 0.07)28.71% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.086999999999996 0.09)64.54% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.05% (-1.79 -1.79)47.95% (1.786 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.8% (-1.35 -1.35)83.19% (1.347 1.35)
Score Analysis
    Namibia 48.49%
    Zimbabwe 21.88%
    Draw 29.59%
NamibiaDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 17.18% (0.64 0.64)
2-0 @ 10.71% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.182 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 48.49%
0-0 @ 13.76% (0.48 0.48)
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 2.9% (-0.183 -0.18)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 29.59%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 4.64% (-0.303 -0.3)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 21.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Namibia 1-2 Kenya
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cameroon 1-0 Namibia
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Angola 5-0 Namibia
Sunday, July 7 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Mozambique 0-0 Namibia (2-4 pen.)
Friday, July 5 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Namibia 3-1 Seychelles
Wednesday, July 3 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Namibia 2-1 Lesotho
Monday, July 1 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zimbabwe 0-0 Cameroon
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Kenya 0-0 Zimbabwe
Friday, September 6 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Kenya 2-0 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, July 2 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 0-2 Zimbabwe
Sunday, June 30 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Comoros 0-1 Zimbabwe
Thursday, June 27 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: South Africa 3-1 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


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