SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
51.86% ( 0.14) | 23.12% ( -0.05) | 25.02% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.39% ( 0.15) | 42.61% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.99% ( 0.14) | 65.01% ( -0.14) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.52% ( 0.1) | 16.49% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.8% ( 0.19) | 46.2% ( -0.18) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( 0.01) | 30.59% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% ( 0.01) | 66.83% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 51.86% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 25.02% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
