SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 62.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Minai had a probability of 15.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Minai |
62.61% ( 0.12) | 22.27% ( -0.05) | 15.11% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.7% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.76% ( 0.08) | 52.24% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.06% ( 0.06) | 73.94% ( -0.07) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.83% ( 0.07) | 16.16% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.38% ( 0.12) | 45.62% ( -0.12) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.32% ( -0.05) | 46.68% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.76% ( -0.04) | 82.24% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Minai |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 62.6% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0)Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.27% | 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.25% Total : 15.11% |
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