Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Atlas win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Salt Lake in this match.
Result | ||
Real Salt Lake | Draw | Atlas |
57.2% ( -0.06) | 21.48% ( -0.02) | 21.31% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 58.88% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.78% ( 0.24) | 39.22% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.45% ( 0.25) | 61.55% ( -0.24) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% ( 0.06) | 13.54% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.37% ( 0.12) | 40.62% ( -0.12) |
Atlas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.1% ( 0.21) | 31.9% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.65% ( 0.24) | 68.34% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Real Salt Lake | Draw | Atlas |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.48% Total : 57.2% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.48% | 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 21.31% |
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