SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 57.49%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 21.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
57.49% ( 0.69) | 20.75% ( -0.45) | 21.76% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 62.24% ( 1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.89% ( 1.85) | 35.11% ( -1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.88% ( 2.03) | 57.11% ( -2.04) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.86% ( 0.79) | 12.13% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.28% ( 1.66) | 37.72% ( -1.66) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( 0.84) | 29.16% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% ( 1.02) | 65.09% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.25)1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.1)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.49% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.34)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 21.76% |
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