SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
50.05% ( 0.02) | 21.32% ( -0.01) | 28.63% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 68% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.11% ( 0.05) | 30.88% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.75% ( 0.06) | 52.25% ( -0.06) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.11% ( 0.02) | 12.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.7% ( 0.05) | 39.29% ( -0.05) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( 0.02) | 21.94% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.78% ( 0.03) | 55.22% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.05% 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.32% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.37% 0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.36% Total : 28.63% |
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