Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.15%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Salt Lake | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
55.15% (![]() | 22.25% (![]() | 22.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.84% (![]() | 41.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.45% (![]() | 63.55% (![]() |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.15% (![]() | 14.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.84% (![]() | 43.16% (![]() |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.17% (![]() | 31.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.73% | 68.26% |
Score Analysis |
Real Salt Lake | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 9.01% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.15% | 1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 5.91% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.6% |
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