SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.15%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
55.15% ( 0.01) | 22.25% ( -0) | 22.6% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.84% ( 0.01) | 41.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.45% ( 0.01) | 63.55% ( -0.01) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.15% ( 0.01) | 14.84% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.84% ( 0.01) | 43.16% ( -0.01) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% ( 0) | 31.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.73% | 68.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.15% | 1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.6% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
