While New York City have found a way to get through to the last 16, they have struggled to find that killer instinct, and we believe that may come back to bite them on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 52.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
