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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%).
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
35.26% ( 0.05) | 25.2% ( -0.02) | 39.54% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.26% ( 0.08) | 46.74% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( 0.07) | 69% ( -0.08) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( 0.06) | 25.74% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.32% ( 0.09) | 60.67% ( -0.09) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( 0.02) | 23.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.58% ( 0.03) | 57.42% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 39.54% |
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