SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
51.45% ( 0.05) | 23.01% ( -0.07) | 25.53% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.37% ( 0.36) | 41.63% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.97% ( 0.36) | 64.03% ( -0.36) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( 0.15) | 16.28% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.18% ( 0.27) | 45.82% ( -0.26) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( 0.21) | 29.67% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% ( 0.26) | 65.71% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 51.45% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 25.54% |
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