SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | New York City FC |
49.9% ( -0.68) | 24.6% ( -0.15) | 25.49% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( 1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% ( 1.32) | 48.67% ( -1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% ( 1.19) | 70.78% ( -1.19) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% ( 0.24) | 19.53% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.58% ( 0.39) | 51.42% ( -0.39) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% ( 1.42) | 33.46% ( -1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.91% ( 1.53) | 70.09% ( -1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.97% Total : 49.9% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.36% Total : 25.49% |
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