New York City have not been nearly as creative going forward away from home this season, and we expect a cagey affair with two teams that may have difficulty finding enough attacking solutions to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	New York City FC
44.35% ( 0.01)	25.28%	30.37% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.96% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.52% (

0.01)

48.48% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.39% (

0.01)

70.61% (

-0.01)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.15% (

0.01)

21.85% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.92% (

0.01)

55.08% (

-0.01)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.33% (

29.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.28% (

65.72% (

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 44.35%

New York City FC 30.38%

Draw 25.28%

Chicago Fire	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.35%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.38%