SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.89%) and 3-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
60.91% ( -0.59) | 19.55% ( 0.23) | 19.54% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 63.06% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.52% ( -0.51) | 32.48% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.88% ( -0.6) | 54.12% ( 0.6) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.58% ( -0.3) | 10.42% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.03% ( -0.68) | 33.97% ( 0.68) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( 0.04) | 29.61% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% ( 0.05) | 65.65% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toluca | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 60.91% | 1-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 19.55% | 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.95% Total : 19.54% |
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