SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
55.95% ( 0.03) | 20.23% ( 0.03) | 23.82% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 67.16% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.03% ( -0.2) | 29.96% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.85% ( -0.24) | 51.15% ( 0.24) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.09% ( -0.06) | 10.91% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.91% ( -0.12) | 35.08% ( 0.12) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( -0.16) | 24.61% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.88% ( -0.22) | 59.11% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.19% 5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 55.95% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.23% | 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 23.82% |
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