MX23RW : Thursday, October 10 10:31:04
SM
England vs. Greece: 8 hrs 13 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 2, 2024 at 2am UK
SeatGeek Stadium
CF

Toluca
3 - 1
Chicago Fire

Angulo (30'), Ruiz (45', 66')
Baeza (27')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Koutsias (8')
Navarro (74'), Navarro (80'), Acosta (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca
Sunday, July 21 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 29 at 2am in Leagues Cup

We said: Toluca 2-0 Chicago Fire

Losing by such narrow margins time and again can weigh heavily on a team, and it seems as though the Fire cannot get out of this current slump despite their best efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 65.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawChicago Fire
65.61% (-0.28699999999999 -0.29) 18.71% (0.124 0.12) 15.68% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 57.84% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.49% (-0.276 -0.28)35.5% (0.272 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.44% (-0.305 -0.31)57.55% (0.3 0.3)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.87% (-0.148 -0.15)10.12% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.68% (-0.336 -0.34)33.31% (0.333 0.33)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)35.64% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.58% (0.023 0.02)72.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 65.61%
    Chicago Fire 15.68%
    Draw 18.71%
TolucaDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.22% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.27% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.14% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.96% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 65.61%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.61% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.71%
1-2 @ 4.4% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.72% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.92% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 15.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca
Sunday, July 21 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Mazatlan
Thursday, July 18 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-2 Juarez
Sunday, July 14 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Toluca
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 12 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Toluca
Thursday, May 9 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 29 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Chicago Fire
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 NY City
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-0 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 4-3 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .