SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Club Tijuana |
44.64% ( 1.26) | 22.38% ( 0) | 32.98% ( -1.27) |
| Both teams to score 66.63% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.27% ( -0.46) | 33.73% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.44% ( -0.53) | 55.56% ( 0.53) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% ( 0.29) | 15.77% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.11% ( 0.53) | 44.9% ( -0.53) |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( -0.87) | 20.9% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.38% ( -1.37) | 53.62% ( 1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Club Tijuana |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 4.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.1)4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 3% Total : 44.64% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.8% Total : 32.98% |
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