SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlas | Draw | Club America |
26.02% ( -2.22) | 25.39% ( 0.07) | 48.59% ( 2.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( -1.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.52% ( -1.73) | 51.48% ( 1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.71% ( -1.53) | 73.29% ( 1.53) |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.47% ( -2.67) | 34.53% ( 2.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.75% ( -2.95) | 71.25% ( 2.95) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( 0.23) | 21.2% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.91% ( 0.36) | 54.09% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlas | Draw | Club America |
| 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.46)2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.02% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.32)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.84) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.71)1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.4)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.45% Total : 48.58% |
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