SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club America in this match.
| Result | ||
| Club America | Draw | Cruz Azul |
56.66% ( -0.28) | 22.4% ( -0.42) | 20.94% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( 2.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% ( 2.74) | 43.92% ( -2.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( 2.62) | 66.3% ( -2.62) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.7% ( 0.86) | 15.3% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.98% ( 1.59) | 44.02% ( -1.59) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.07% ( 2.26) | 34.93% ( -2.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.33% ( 2.31) | 71.67% ( -2.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club America | Draw | Cruz Azul |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.92) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.57)3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.29)4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.18)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.66% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.67)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.07)Other @ 2% Total : 20.94% |
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