Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
-0.89) 
0.59) 
