Club Leon
2 - 1
Toluca

Barreiro (52'), Mena (73')
Colombatto (27'), David Ramirez (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Estrada (45+3')
Sambueza (29'), Torres (51'), Barbieri (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Leon and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.

Result
Club Leon	Draw	Toluca
57.38%	23.63%	18.99%

Both teams to score 48.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.39%

51.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.6%

73.4%

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23%

17.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.53%

48.47%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.59%

41.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.09%

77.92%

Score Analysis

Club Leon 57.38%

Toluca 18.99%

Draw 23.62%

Club Leon	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 12.71% 2-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 5.58% 4-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.5% Total : 57.38%	1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.62%	0-1 @ 6.49% 1-2 @ 4.94% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.99% Total : 18.99%