Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
