Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.