Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.
