Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
-0.43) 
0.2) 
