Coming off their CONCACAF Champions League (CCL) victory earlier this year, Leon have been disappointing domestically in 2023-24, but they have been resilient of late and found ways to earn results, so we believe their experience in these knockout games will serve them well.
San Luis are in poor form at the moment and looking a little unstable at the back, and we do not believe they will be able to fix those issues in time for this encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
0.37) 
-0.12) 
