Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Club Leon
33.85% ( 0.01)	26.02% ( -0.07)	40.12% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 53.81% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.44% (

0.3)

50.56% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.52% (

0.27)

72.48% (

-0.27)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58% (

0.15)

28.42% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.83% (

0.19)

64.17% (

-0.19)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.17% (

0.17)

24.83% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.58% (

0.24)

59.42% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 33.85%

Club Leon 40.12%

Draw 26.02%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Club Leon
1-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.85%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 40.12%