SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 67.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Club Leon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Club Leon.
| Result | ||
| Club Leon | Draw | Juarez |
67.75% ( 0.79) | 17.84% ( -0.38) | 14.41% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.95% ( 0.93) | 34.05% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.08% ( 1.05) | 55.92% ( -1.05) |
| Club Leon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.77% ( 0.43) | 9.22% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.79% ( 1.03) | 31.2% ( -1.02) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% ( 0.06) | 36.32% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.89% ( 0.06) | 73.11% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Leon | Draw | Juarez |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.11)5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.71% Total : 67.75% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.84% | 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 14.41% |
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