There are too many defensive deficiencies that have crept up for Juarez in recent matches that we believe even a side like Leon, who are not all that potent in front of goal, should be able to bury their chances.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 67.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Club Leon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Club Leon.
0.79) 
-0.38) 
