Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
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