Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.

Result
Club Leon	Draw	Toluca
58.39% ( -0.36)	20.96% ( 0.14)	20.65% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 59.7% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.33% (

-0.35)

37.67% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.09% (

-0.38)

59.91% (

0.38)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.31% (

-0.21)

12.69% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.11% (

-0.45)

38.89% (

0.45)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.37% (

-0)

31.63% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97% (

-0)

68.04% (

Score Analysis

Club Leon 58.39%

Toluca 20.65%

Draw 20.96%

Club Leon	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.91% Total : 58.39%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.96%	1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 20.65%