SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 37.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.24%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico San Luis | Draw | Toluca |
37.98% ( 0.07) | 23.13% ( -0.02) | 38.89% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 64.87% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.53% ( 0.1) | 36.47% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.39% ( 0.11) | 58.61% ( -0.11) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( 0.08) | 19.67% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.35% ( 0.12) | 51.65% ( -0.12) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.75% ( 0.02) | 19.25% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.03% ( 0.04) | 50.97% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico San Luis | Draw | Toluca |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 37.98% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 38.89% |
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