Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 15.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
Result | ||
Tigres | Draw | Club Tijuana |
65.4% ( 0.99) | 19.16% ( -0.11) | 15.44% ( -0.89) |
Both teams to score 55.55% ( -1.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.82% ( -1.32) | 38.18% ( 1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.54% ( -1.42) | 60.46% ( 1.42) |
Tigres Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.06% ( -0.13) | 10.93% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.87% ( -0.28) | 35.13% ( 0.27) |
Club Tijuana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.37% ( -1.92) | 37.63% ( 1.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.59% ( -1.93) | 74.4% ( 1.93) |
Score Analysis |
Tigres | Draw | Club Tijuana |
2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.52) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.42% Total : 65.39% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.16% | 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.12% Total : 15.44% |
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