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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 29, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
6 - 0
Mazatlan

Rodriguez (30'), Valdes (32'), Martin (34', 59', 90+3'), Sanchez (40')
Reyes Chavez (38'), Rodriguez (83'), Rodriguez (84')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Colula (21'), Almada (68')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 2-2 Puebla
Sunday, January 22 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-2 Santos Laguna
Saturday, January 21 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 72.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 9.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.99%) and 3-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawMazatlan
72.9% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41) 17.3% (0.281 0.28) 9.81% (0.1301 0.13)
Both teams to score 44.32% (-0.445 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.09% (-0.876 -0.88)43.91% (0.88 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.7% (-0.86 -0.86)66.3% (0.866 0.87)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.41% (-0.334 -0.33)10.59% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.63% (-0.76100000000001 -0.76)34.37% (0.765 0.77)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.57% (-0.309 -0.31)50.43% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.05% (-0.212 -0.21)84.95% (0.21599999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Club America 72.89%
    Mazatlan 9.81%
    Draw 17.3%
Club AmericaDrawMazatlan
2-0 @ 13.46% (0.14 0.14)
1-0 @ 11.99% (0.29 0.29)
3-0 @ 10.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 5.65% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.54% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.05 -0.05)
6-0 @ 0.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 72.89%
1-1 @ 8.21% (0.124 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.202 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 17.3%
0-1 @ 3.66% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 2.81% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.25% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.81%

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Form Guide
Last Game: America 2-2 Puebla
Sunday, January 22 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-2 America
Sunday, January 15 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 0-0 Queretaro
Saturday, January 7 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-1 Toluca
Sunday, October 23 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 America
Thursday, October 20 at 3.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 5-1 Puebla
Sunday, October 16 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-2 Santos Laguna
Saturday, January 21 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-1 Mazatlan
Friday, January 13 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-0 Mazatlan
Monday, October 3 at 12.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-2 Mazatlan
Saturday, September 24 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-1 Toluca
Saturday, September 17 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, September 11 at 10pm in Liga MX


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