SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 72.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 10.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club America | Draw | Toluca |
72.63% ( -0.05) | 16.5% ( 0.03) | 10.86% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.3% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.1% ( -0.06) | 36.89% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.92% ( -0.06) | 59.07% ( 0.06) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.16% ( -0.03) | 8.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.71% ( -0.06) | 30.29% ( 0.06) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.28% ( 0) | 43.72% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.11% ( 0) | 79.89% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club America | Draw | Toluca |
| 2-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 72.63% | 1-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 16.5% | 1-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 10.86% |
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