Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 53.07%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
