Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Mazatlan	Draw	Toluca
42.63% ( 0.19)	25.85% ( 0.09)	31.52% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 53.63% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.54% (

-0.49)

50.46% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.61% (

-0.43)

72.39% (

0.43)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

-0.12)

23.51% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.45% (

-0.17)

57.55% (

0.17)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.11% (

-0.43)

29.89% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.02% (

-0.53)

65.98% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Mazatlan 42.63%

Toluca 31.52%

Draw 25.84%

Mazatlan	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 42.63%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.52%