Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Sep 17, 2022 at 3am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan
Colula (23')
Sosa (20'), Joel Barcenas (39'), Cedillo (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Mazatlan | Draw | Toluca |
42.63% ( 0.19) | 25.85% ( 0.09) | 31.52% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 53.63% ( -0.41) |
| 49.54% ( -0.49) | 50.46% ( 0.49) |
| 27.61% ( -0.43) | 72.39% ( 0.43) |
| 76.49% ( -0.12) | 23.51% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.45% ( -0.17) | 57.55% ( 0.17) |
| 70.11% ( -0.43) | 29.89% ( 0.43) |
