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Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jan 15, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca
2 - 2
America

Gonzalez (8'), Orrantia (23')
Baeza (41'), Orrantia (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rodriguez (16'), Martin (76' pen.)
Aquino (36'), Jimenez (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 3-1 Toluca
Monday, October 31 at 1.36am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 0-0 Queretaro
Saturday, January 7 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawClub America
24.83% (0.073 0.07) 23.03% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 52.14% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 58.06% (-0.196 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (-0.297 -0.3)42.39% (0.3 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.21% (-0.298 -0.3)64.79% (0.301 0.3)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)30.63% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (-0.117 -0.12)66.87% (0.12 0.12)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (-0.161 -0.16)16.31% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.12% (-0.295 -0.3)45.88% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 24.83%
    Club America 52.14%
    Draw 23.03%
TolucaDrawClub America
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.91% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.5% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 24.83%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 9.06% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.21% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.88% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 52.14%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Pachuca 3-1 Toluca
Monday, October 31 at 1.36am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-5 Pachuca
Friday, October 28 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-1 Toluca
Sunday, October 23 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 America
Thursday, October 20 at 3.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-2 Toluca
Monday, October 17 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-3 Santos Laguna
Friday, October 14 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 0-0 Queretaro
Saturday, January 7 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-1 Toluca
Sunday, October 23 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 America
Thursday, October 20 at 3.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 5-1 Puebla
Sunday, October 16 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-6 America
Thursday, October 13 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 America
Saturday, October 1 at 1am in Liga MX


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