SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Club America |
24.83% ( 0.07) | 23.03% ( 0.08) | 52.14% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.06% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.61% ( -0.3) | 42.39% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.21% ( -0.3) | 64.79% ( 0.3) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( -0.1) | 30.63% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.13% ( -0.12) | 66.87% ( 0.12) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( -0.16) | 16.31% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.12% ( -0.3) | 45.88% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toluca | Draw | Club America |
| 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 24.83% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.38% Total : 52.14% |
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