Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 48.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Monterrey had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Monterrey win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.01) 
