Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Monterrey
42.1% ( -0.8)	25.62% ( -0.11)	32.28% ( 0.91)

Both teams to score 54.68% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.77% (

0.79)

49.23% (

-0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.71% (

0.7)

71.29% (

-0.7)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.76% (

-0.05)

23.24% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.85% (

-0.07)

57.15% (

0.07)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23% (

28.77% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

1.23)

64.61% (

-1.22)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 42.1%

Monterrey 32.28%

Draw 25.61%

Pachuca	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.1%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.28%