SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Monterrey |
42.1% ( -0.8) | 25.62% ( -0.11) | 32.28% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.77% ( 0.79) | 49.23% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% ( 0.7) | 71.29% ( -0.7) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.05) | 23.24% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.85% ( -0.07) | 57.15% ( 0.07) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 1) | 28.77% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( 1.23) | 64.61% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pachuca | Draw | Monterrey |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.1% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.28% |
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