Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 63.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
-0.24) 
0.06) 
