Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.