Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Leon in this match.