SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Mazatlan | 12 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Club Leon | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 | Juarez | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Mazatlan | 12 | -3 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Leon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Leon | Draw | Juarez |
| 53.39% | 24.27% | 22.34% |
Both teams to score 51.12% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.81% ( 0) | 50.18% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.85% ( 0) | 72.15% ( -0) |
| Club Leon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.26% ( 0) | 18.73% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.89% ( 0) | 50.11% ( -0) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.91% | 37.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.12% | 73.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Leon | Draw | Juarez |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% 2-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 5.44% 3-1 @ 5.4% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.38% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.89% 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.7% Total : 22.34% |
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