Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 49.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Club Leon in this match.