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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
1 - 1
Guadalajara

Hurtado (84' pen.)
Perez Bouquet (35'), Garcia (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vega (21')
Alvarado (53'), Paunovic (90+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 2-4 Juarez
Sunday, July 16 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Necaxa
Friday, July 14 at 4am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
JuarezDrawCD Guadalajara
32.98% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 27.89% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 39.12% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.78% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.88% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)58.12% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.22% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)78.78% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (-0.108 -0.11)32.78% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (-0.119 -0.12)69.34% (0.113 0.11)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08%28.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 32.98%
    CD Guadalajara 39.12%
    Draw 27.89%
JuarezDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.98%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.48% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 11.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.3% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04%
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 39.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Toluca 2-4 Juarez
Sunday, July 16 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Tigres
Sunday, July 9 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-2 Juarez
Saturday, July 1 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-1 America
Saturday, April 29 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Juarez
Sunday, April 23 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-0 Juarez
Friday, April 14 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Necaxa
Friday, July 14 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, July 9 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 1-2 Guadalajara
Tuesday, July 4 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-3 Tigres
Monday, May 29 at 2.35am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 0-0 Guadalajara
Friday, May 26 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-3 Guadalajara
Monday, May 22 at 3am in Liga MX


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