Liga MX | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio Caliente
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.
| Result |
| Club Tijuana | Draw | Toluca |
43.46% ( -0.02) | 25.2% ( 0.01) | 31.34% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.7% ( -0.02) |
| 52.27% ( -0.02) | 47.73% ( 0.03) |
| 30.07% ( -0.02) | 69.92% ( 0.03) |
| 78.06% ( -0.02) | 21.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.78% ( -0.03) | 55.22% ( 0.04) |
| 71.36% ( 0) | 28.64% ( 0) |
