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Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 6, 2024 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
2 - 3
Necaxa

Gonzalez (45+3'), Blanco (74')
Blanco (72'), Diaz (72'), Rivera (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cambindo (38'), Paradela (85' pen., 90+1')
Montes (28'), Cambindo (36'), Rodriguez (62')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mazatlan 2-0 Tijuana
Saturday, March 30 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 Club Leon
Monday, April 1 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 20.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawNecaxa
55.89% (-0.729 -0.73) 23.78% (0.143 0.14) 20.34% (0.589 0.59)
Both teams to score 49.86% (0.474 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (0.166 0.17)50.47% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6% (0.148 0.15)72.4% (-0.146 -0.15)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)17.9% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.31% (-0.355 -0.35)48.69% (0.358 0.36)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72% (0.726 0.73)39.27% (-0.724 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (0.672 0.67)75.98% (-0.67 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 55.88%
    Necaxa 20.34%
    Draw 23.77%
Club TijuanaDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 10.4% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.97% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 55.88%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 20.34%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-0 Tijuana
Saturday, March 30 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-2 Santos Laguna
Saturday, March 16 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 3-3 Tijuana
Sunday, March 10 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Club Leon
Monday, March 4 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Monterrey
Thursday, February 29 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-0 Tijuana
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 Club Leon
Monday, April 1 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-2 Necaxa
Saturday, March 16 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, March 9 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-1 Necaxa
Saturday, March 2 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Pachuca
Saturday, February 24 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-0 Guadalajara
Wednesday, February 21 at 3am in Liga MX


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